Al Hamriyah 3-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.2pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.27/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.05
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
30.11.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
08.11.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
02.02.2025 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
19.01.2025 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 2-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
28.04.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah edged past Al Thaid 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hamriyah as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Hamriyah and 1.00 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?

Al Hamriyah 3-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 60%, draw 17%, Al Thaid 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hamriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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