Malkiya 1-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.28/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.92
-12% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2026 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 1-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAHKK
07.11.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
15.04.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
03.10.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
1-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya edged past Al Shabab Manama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malkiya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Malkiya had 54% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 46%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Malkiya and 0.50 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Al Shabab Manama?

Malkiya 1-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 45%, draw 25%, Al Shabab Manama 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malkiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malkiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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