Sitra 1-3 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
66%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
2.03
No
41%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 23% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-1.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
66%
Away Win
64%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
45%
+13.7pp
41%
BTTS No
55%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 69%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.75/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.80
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Khalidiya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-1 HT 2-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.05.2025 Sitra Sitra 2-0 HT 2-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
18.04.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
23.02.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
13.02.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 4-1 HT 3-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
24.09.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-3
AWAY Khalidiya
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya beat Sitra 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Sitra had 32% of the ball to Khalidiya's 68%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sitra and 2.17 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Khalidiya?

Sitra 1-3 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sitra 14%, draw 20%, Khalidiya 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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