Aalborg 3-1 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.99
1/2
8%
24.35
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
8%
6.19
X/2
12%
5.46
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.29
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.89/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.22
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
15.7 Crosses 21.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.79 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
413 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2026 Aalborg Aalborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
29.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-1 HT 4-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
3-1
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.68 xG 2.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 13
265 Passes 442
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 46
7 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aalborg beat Aarhus Fremad 3-1 in the Denmark 1st Division on 18 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Aalborg had 39% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 61%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 1.68 to 2.74.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aalborg and 3.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?

Aalborg 3-1 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 36%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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