Nomme United 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.5pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 34%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.96
+150% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Nomme United Nomme United ESTK
22.10.2022 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 5-1 HT 3-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
04.09.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 4-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST2
28.04.2022 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 4-2 HT 2-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
10.04.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 3-2 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
1-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool nicked a narrow win over Nomme United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme United had 60% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nomme United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Nomme United and 2.40 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Nomme United 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 47%, draw 23%, Harju Jalgpallikool 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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