Bastia 2-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Apr 2026

Bastia
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Saint-Etienne
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Bastia vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away Pick
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.09
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.53
6+
5%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.69
1/2
3%
23.95
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
8%
8.42
X/2
19%
4.32
X/X
16%
4.74
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.39
2/X
5%
13.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Bastia v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bastia The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne The Market 56%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
1.44 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2

Bastia vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.18 xG 1.84
42% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 445
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-2 HT 1-2 Bastia Bastia FR2
16.03.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-4 HT 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
19.12.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 2-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
31.01.2023 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
30.08.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 5-0 HT 4-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
04.03.2017 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1

Bastia 2-0 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
2 - 0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.55 xG 0.47
25% Ball Possession 75%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
91 Passes 435
51% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bastia vs Saint-Etienne
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bastia got the better of Saint-Etienne 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

A gentle 53% lean on Saint-Etienne didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.

The match data tells the story: Bastia had 25% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 75%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.55 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bastia and 2.33 for Saint-Etienne.

Bastia vs Saint-Etienne Result & Final Score

Bastia 2 - 0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bastia vs Saint-Etienne Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bastia 21%, draw 26%, Saint-Etienne 53%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saint-Etienne), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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