Troyes vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Troyes v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Boulogne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Troyes 1-0 Boulogne — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes edged past Boulogne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Boulogne saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.71 to 0.22.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Troyes against 1.33 for Boulogne.
Troyes vs Boulogne Result & Final Score
Troyes 1 - 0 Boulogne in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Troyes vs Boulogne Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Troyes 68%, draw 19%, Boulogne 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.