Treowen Stars 4-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.34
No
37%
2.99
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
30%
4-5
35%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treowen Stars The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town The Market 66%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.19 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.59
2.68 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.22
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treowen Stars
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.09.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars GALFAW
REVIEW Treowen Stars vs Carmarthen Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Treowen Stars swept aside Carmarthen Town 4-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Carmarthen Town went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.52, about 66% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Treowen Stars vs Carmarthen Town Result & Final Score

Treowen Stars 4-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Treowen Stars vs Carmarthen Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 22%, draw 19%, Carmarthen Town 59%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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