Caersws 6-0 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.4pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.31/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.21
-24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Denbigh Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.07.2025 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
15.03.2025 Caersws Caersws 1-1 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
16.08.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
08.08.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 4-1 HT 3-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws cruised past Denbigh Town 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caersws and 2.50 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Denbigh Town?

Caersws 6-0 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caersws 36%, draw 23%, Denbigh Town 42%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Denbigh Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
18 Apr 2026
14:30 Airbus UK vs Llandudno FC Analysis →
14:30 Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Buckley Town Analysis →
14:30 Brickfield Rangers vs Holywell Analysis →
14:30 Penrhyncoch vs Y Rhyl 1879 Analysis →
14:30 Mold Alexandra vs Flint Mountain Analysis →
14:30 Guilsfield vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →