Denbigh Town 3-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.39
No
30%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-5.8pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+2.3pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 36%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.71/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.15
+48% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
347 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Caersws
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
15.03.2025 Caersws Caersws 1-1 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
16.08.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
08.08.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 4-1 HT 3-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town edged past Caersws 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Denbigh Town and 0.67 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Caersws?

Denbigh Town 3-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 47%, draw 27%, Caersws 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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