Newport City vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport City v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals
Newport City vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Newport City edged past Afan Lido 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newport City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Newport City and 1.00 for Afan Lido.
What was the final score of Newport City vs Afan Lido?
Newport City 1-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport City vs Afan Lido?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Newport City 49%, draw 22%, Afan Lido 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.