25/07/2025
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Newtown vs Ruthin Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
21%
Draw
19%
17%
Away Win
16%
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
41%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Ruthin Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newtown
EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ruthin Town
EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-32%
/
+15%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
358 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Newtown vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Newtown cruised past Ruthin Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Ruthin Town?
Newtown 3-0 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Ruthin Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Newtown 62%, draw 21%, Ruthin Town 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Newtown)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
25 Jul 2025