Ballinamallard United 0-1 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

Ballinamallard United
0-1 HT 0-1
Warrenpoint Town
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Warrenpoint Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.57/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.44
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0

Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.02.2026 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
13.12.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-4 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
25.02.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
04.02.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
08.11.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.07.2019 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United HAZ
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrenpoint Town nicked a narrow win over Ballinamallard United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Warrenpoint Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.50 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Ballinamallard United 0-1 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 38%, draw 29%, Warrenpoint Town 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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