Fransa (K) 1-1 Hollanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.53
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.4pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.48
+7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hollanda (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
3.04 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
370 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2026 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) KDK
13.07.2025 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-5 HT 2-1 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) ABK
23.07.2022 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) ABK
07.04.2017 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) HAZ
23.10.2015 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
03.09.2009 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa (K)
1-1
AWAY Hollanda (K)
0.67 xG 0.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
378 Passes 186
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fransa (K) vs Hollanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa (K) and Hollanda (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fransa (K) at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fransa (K) had 63% of the ball to Hollanda (K)'s 37%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.67 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fransa (K) and 1.17 for Hollanda (K).

What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Fransa (K) 1-1 Hollanda (K) in the Women's World Cup on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 62%, draw 18%, Hollanda (K) 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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