Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.26/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.23
-7% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CS Cartagines
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2026 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 2-1 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
08.12.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.07.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
04.05.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
19.01.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.11.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY CS Cartagines
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia squeezed past CS Cartagines 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 49% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 0.83 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 49%, draw 24%, CS Cartagines 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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