Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.32
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
19.01.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.11.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
11.09.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-0 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
22.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
18.02.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY CS Cartagines
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over CS Cartagines 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 59% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 41%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 0.67 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Cartagines win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 35%, draw 28%, CS Cartagines 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CS Cartagines) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Cartagines) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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