Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 46%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -15%
1.12/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.88
-6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.11.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
11.09.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-0 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
22.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
18.02.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
05.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
0-1
AWAY CS Cartagines
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Cartagines nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; CS Cartagines found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 55% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 45%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.00 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Cartagines win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 34%, draw 28%, CS Cartagines 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Cartagines), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Cartagines) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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