Santos de Guapiles 3-1 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.58/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.17
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
02.03.2025 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.10.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
26.07.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-3 HT 2-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
30.03.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 2-1 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
25.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
23.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles beat Perez Zeledon 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santos de Guapiles as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perez Zeledon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.83 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon?

Santos de Guapiles 3-1 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 46%, draw 28%, Perez Zeledon 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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