Santa Ana 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 70%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.84/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.81
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +20%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Ana
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 6-3 HT 4-2 Santa Ana KOSTA
10.11.2024 Santa Ana 0-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
29.07.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana and Alajuelense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santa Ana had 47% of the ball to Alajuelense's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Ana and 3.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs Alajuelense?

Santa Ana 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 24%, draw 23%, Alajuelense 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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