CS Herediano 1-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.55/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.05
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
17.10.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
24.07.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
09.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
03.03.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
22.10.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Puntarenas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 55% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 45%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CS Herediano and 0.33 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Puntarenas FC?

CS Herediano 1-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 41%, draw 30%, Puntarenas FC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CS Herediano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
4 May 2025
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