Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-1 HT 1-1
Dinamo Moscow
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.03
1/2
6%
22.25
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
7%
9.11
X/2
16%
4.28
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
34%
2.21
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
57%
Away Win
54%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.33/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.04
+23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
15.2 Crosses 21.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 2.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
224 Passes 458
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
12.04.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
09.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
21.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
02.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
15.09.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod and Dinamo Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dinamo Moscow at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 22%, draw 21%, Dinamo Moscow 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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