FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Orenburg v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FK Orenburg 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow squeezed past FK Orenburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FK Orenburg had 41% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 59%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.76 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Orenburg and 2.17 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
FK Orenburg 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 31%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Moscow 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.