Krylya Sovetov 1-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 33% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.81
1/2
8%
22.65
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
10%
7.04
X/2
20%
4.93
X/X
11%
5.22
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
21%
2.79
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
0.99/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.19
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.3 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.43 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2026 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-5 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUSK
25.10.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
20.04.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
08.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.02 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 4
241 Passes 376
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and CSKA Moskova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 43% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 57%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.02 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.17 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 27%, draw 24%, CSKA Moskova 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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