CSKA Moskova 1-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.71
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
20%
4.6
X/2
13%
7.7
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
5.98
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.55/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
+22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.0 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
08.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
15.03.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
12.03.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-0 HT 3-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.22 xG 1.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
525 Passes 363
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Krylya Sovetov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 58% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.22 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 48%, draw 24%, Krylya Sovetov 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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