Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0 HT 1-0
Khimki
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Khimki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.64
2-3 Goals
39%
2.2
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
16%
5.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.24
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
33.0
X/1
23%
3.86
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
6%
11.9
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
5%
33.5
2/X
6%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.0pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.7pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Khimki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 8%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.39/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.76
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -29%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 71%
39.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.0 Crosses 12.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Khimki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Khimki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 0.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
495 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
12.03.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
15.07.2022 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
07.05.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
24.07.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-3 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
05.04.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Khimki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
AWAY Khimki
1.25 xG 0.20
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
493 Passes 227
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Khimki 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 66% of the ball to Khimki's 34%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.25 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.83 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Khimki?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 69%, draw 17%, Khimki 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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