Dinamo Moscow 3-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.31
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.56
X/2
11%
9.11
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1
13%
22.0
2/2
6%
6.75
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.73/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.9 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
04.12.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.11.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
26.09.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
01.05.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
3-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.27 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
357 Passes 206
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow saw off Rubin Kazan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 60% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 40%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.27 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?

Dinamo Moscow 3-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 51%, draw 25%, Rubin Kazan 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
20 Apr 2025
14:00 Fakel vs Rostov Analysis →
16:30 Zenit St. Petersburg vs Khimki Analysis →
19:30 CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov Analysis →