Krylya Sovetov 2-5 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.35
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
9%
8.19
X/2
19%
4.39
X/X
8%
4.7
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.45
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.35 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
51%
Away Win
51%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.7pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
20.04.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
08.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2-5
AWAY CSKA Moskova
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova swept aside Krylya Sovetov 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 46% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 54%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.50 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Krylya Sovetov 2-5 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Super Cup on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 26%, draw 23%, CSKA Moskova 51%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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