CSKA Moskova 1-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.77
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
22%
3.96
X/2
5%
13.15
X/X
5%
6.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.5
2/2
5%
10.8
2/X
7%
19.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
65%
+2.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.96/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.76
+20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.9 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
08.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
15.03.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.36 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
448 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova nicked a narrow win over Krylya Sovetov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 62% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 38%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?

CSKA Moskova 1-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 67%, draw 19%, Krylya Sovetov 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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