Rostov 1-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
13%
5.72
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 41% vs market 38.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
13%
3.98
X/2
8%
8.49
X/X
17%
3.86
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
7%
7.87
2/X
7%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.6pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.43/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.57
-11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.3 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.33 xG 1.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
27.08.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-3 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
24.05.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
22.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY Makhachkala
1.11 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
263 Passes 206
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Makhachkala shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Rostov had 54% of the ball to Makhachkala's 46%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.11 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Makhachkala led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rostov and 1.25 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Makhachkala?

Rostov 1-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rostov 49%, draw 31%, Makhachkala 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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