Rostov 1-3 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.24/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.51
+24% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 1.10
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
22.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-3
AWAY Makhachkala
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala saw off Rostov 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rostov had 62% of the ball to Makhachkala's 38%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rostov and 0.50 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Makhachkala?

Rostov 1-3 Makhachkala in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rostov 42%, draw 25%, Makhachkala 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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