FC Sochi 2-4 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2025

FC Sochi
2-4 HT 0-2
Krasnodar
📅27/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

FC Sochi vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Sochi v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

FC Sochi vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.46 xG 2.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
311 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 5-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
18.05.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
30.07.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
15.04.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
03.09.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
05.12.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS

FC Sochi 2-4 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
2-4
AWAY Krasnodar
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar saw off FC Sochi 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 40% of the ball to Krasnodar's 60%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Sochi and 2.67 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Krasnodar?

FC Sochi 2-4 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 22%, draw 24%, Krasnodar 54%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
27 Aug 2025
16:15 Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →
20:45 Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova Analysis →
20:45 Rostov vs Makhachkala Analysis →