Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.69
4-5 Goals
16%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.15/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.59
+81% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
227 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.37 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 368
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
03.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
30.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova got the better of Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; CSKA Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 36% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 64%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.25 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 31%, draw 30%, CSKA Moskova 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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