Baltika Kaliningrad 3-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.81
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
4%
13.9
X/1
11%
6.27
X/2
20%
4.72
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.22
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.21/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.42
-61% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.0 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.37 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 363
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
03.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
30.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad got the better of CSKA Moskova 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.33 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Baltika Kaliningrad 3-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 28%, draw 30%, CSKA Moskova 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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