Makhachkala 1-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 Oct 2025

Makhachkala
1-1 HT 0-1
Rostov
📅02/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Makhachkala vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Makhachkala v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 46%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.99
+3% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Makhachkala vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-3 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
24.05.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
22.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala and Rostov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Makhachkala had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Makhachkala and 0.67 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Rostov?

Makhachkala 1-1 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 28%, draw 25%, Rostov 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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