Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.36
Draw
15%
4.83
Away
12%
6.07
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
2.67
Over
72%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.72
2-3
37%
2.15
4-5
34%
2.49
6+
17%
5.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow The Market 74%
Signal
AWAY FK Orenburg The Market 16%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.35
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Orenburg
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.52 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 312
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-4 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.08.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-3 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
12.05.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
17.09.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
16.04.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-4 HT 1-3 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
28.08.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 5-1 HT 3-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2 - 1
AWAY FK Orenburg
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Orenburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lokomotiv Moscow nicked a narrow win over FK Orenburg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Lokomotiv Moscow's favour, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.00 a game for Lokomotiv Moscow against 1.33 for FK Orenburg.

Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Orenburg Result & Final Score

Lokomotiv Moscow 2 - 1 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Orenburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 73%, draw 15%, FK Orenburg 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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