Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.49
Away Pick
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.03
Over
47%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.07
No
54%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.84
2-3
43%
1.83
4-5
21%
3.2
6+
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova The Market 72%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.21 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.47
1.07 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.29
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.04 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
27.07.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-6 HT 0-3 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-2 HT 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
05.11.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
31.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
REVIEW Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CSKA Moskova got the better of Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. At 1.76 (~57%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.50 for CSKA Moskova.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova Result & Final Score

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 18%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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