Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
56%
Away Win
68%
-12.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 72%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.21/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.29
-72% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +145%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.04 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
27.07.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-6 HT 0-3 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-2 HT 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
05.11.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
31.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova got the better of Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.50 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 18%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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