Arenteiro 1-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.37/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.07
+30% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-3 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
1-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Celta Vigo II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Arenteiro had 42% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 58%, shots finished 4-17.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo II?

Arenteiro 1-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 31%, draw 25%, Celta Vigo II 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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