Grasshoppers 0-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
19%
4.64
X/2
9%
8.07
X/X
14%
5.14
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
8%
5.51
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.69/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.57
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.2 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Basel
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.87 xG 1.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
247 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 2-1 Basel Basel İSV
09.12.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
06.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
29.05.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
04.02.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
01.02.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-5 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
0-1
AWAY Basel
0.81 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 391
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel nicked a narrow win over Grasshoppers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Grasshoppers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 45% of the ball to Basel's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.67 for Basel.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Basel?

Grasshoppers 0-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 49%, draw 29%, Basel 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grasshoppers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✓ Under 2.5
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