Manly United 2-1 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.60/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.69
-30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
304 Passes 282
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 3-1 HT 2-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
22.04.2023 Manly United Manly United 0-3 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
25.06.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
09.04.2022 Manly United Manly United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
22.05.2021 Manly United Manly United 1-2 HT 0-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
07.03.2021 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-1 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United nicked a narrow win over Wollongong Wolves 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wollongong Wolves at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wollongong Wolves led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manly United and 1.67 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of Manly United vs Wollongong Wolves?

Manly United 2-1 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Manly United 29%, draw 21%, Wollongong Wolves 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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