NE MetroStars 2-2 Adelaide Comets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.38
Over 2.5
65%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.84/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.14
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Adelaide Comets
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 0-3 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
18.02.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
27.08.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
02.07.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 1-0 HT 1-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
01.04.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
10.07.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-2 HT 1-2 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Comets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars and Adelaide Comets couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was NE MetroStars at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NE MetroStars and 0.67 for Adelaide Comets.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Comets?

NE MetroStars 2-2 Adelaide Comets in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Comets?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 41%, draw 23%, Adelaide Comets 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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