NWS Spirit 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

NWS Spirit
0-2 HT 0-1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
64%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.46
Over 2.5
67%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+1.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
64%
Away Win
67%
-2.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NWS Spirit v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 71%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.95/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.13
+65% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.5 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-0D-1L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.62 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
302 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
06.05.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 3-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers saw off NWS Spirit 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NWS Spirit and 3.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

NWS Spirit 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 16%, draw 20%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5
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