Perth Glory II 0-1 Perth RedStar FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.01/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.73
-26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Perth RedStar FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
06.05.2023 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
15.08.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 3-4 HT 1-3 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
21.05.2022 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Perth Glory II vs Perth RedStar FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth RedStar FC nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Perth RedStar FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Perth RedStar FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Perth Glory II and 2.50 for Perth RedStar FC.

What was the final score of Perth Glory II vs Perth RedStar FC?

Perth Glory II 0-1 Perth RedStar FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory II vs Perth RedStar FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth RedStar FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory II 30%, draw 25%, Perth RedStar FC 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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