St. Albans Saints 3-5 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
49%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-13.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 67%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.65/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.11
-47% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 29.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Port Melbourne
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
114 Passes 355
48% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
07.07.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
08.04.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
21.05.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-1 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
19.02.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
04.07.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne saw off St. Albans Saints 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Port Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St. Albans Saints and 1.67 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Port Melbourne?

St. Albans Saints 3-5 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 27%, draw 24%, Port Melbourne 49%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Melbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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