St George City FA 2-1 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.00/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.89
+44% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sydney United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.35 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
344 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
06.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA squeezed past Sydney United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St George City FA and 0.50 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Sydney United?

St George City FA 2-1 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 45%, draw 25%, Sydney United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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