Western Sydney W. II 2-5 Marconi Stallions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.78/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.45
+26% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Marconi Stallions
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.13 xG 1.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
326 Passes 233
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.07.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 3-3 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
01.04.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-4 HT 0-1 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
22.08.2020 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs Marconi Stallions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions cruised past Western Sydney W. II 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 20% / 39% — and on the day Marconi Stallions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marconi Stallions led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 2.67 for Marconi Stallions.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs Marconi Stallions?

Western Sydney W. II 2-5 Marconi Stallions in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs Marconi Stallions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 41%, draw 20%, Marconi Stallions 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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