Rudes 3-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 May 2024

Rudes
3-3 HT 0-3
Lokomotiva Zagreb
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Rudes vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
56%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.43
Over 2.5
44%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
31%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
6%
+13.6pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.8pp
56%
Away Win
80%
-23.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rudes v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 84%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.42/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.50
-15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -59%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
227 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 80%
11.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
14.5 Crosses 43.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Rudes vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 363
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
03.12.2023 Rudes Rudes 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
15.09.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
20.04.2019 Rudes Rudes 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
15.02.2019 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
26.10.2018 Rudes Rudes 0-4 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR

Rudes 3-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
3-3
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.62 xG 4.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
262 Passes 491
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 63
7 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudes and Lokomotiva Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lokomotiva Zagreb carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rudes had 37% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 63%, shots finished 9-27, expected goals 0.62 to 4.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Rudes and 1.67 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Rudes 3-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rudes 19%, draw 24%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 56%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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