Slaven Belupo 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+16.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-16.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 64%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
0.91/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.77
-33% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
19.6 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.42 xG 1.64
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
225 Passes 513
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-2 HT 2-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
04.12.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
16.09.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
15.04.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
04.02.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
01.10.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
2-3
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.08 xG 1.22
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
144 Passes 407
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 23
5 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb edged past Slaven Belupo 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 32% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 68%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.08 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slaven Belupo and 3.17 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Slaven Belupo 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 24%, draw 24%, Dinamo Zagreb 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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