Olimpia Elblag 1-3 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.30
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.11.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-3
AWAY Polonia Bytom
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom got the better of Olimpia Elblag 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Polonia Bytom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 45% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 55%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Bytom?

Olimpia Elblag 1-3 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 33%, draw 26%, Polonia Bytom 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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