Pogon Siedlce 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.27/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.30
-21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
31.08.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-1 HT 2-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POLK
09.04.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-0 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
26.09.2021 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-0 HT 2-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
07.03.2021 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-2 HT 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
28.08.2020 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-2 HT 3-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2-3
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice squeezed past Pogon Siedlce 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Siedlce at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 54% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 1.83 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Pogon Siedlce 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 44%, draw 24%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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