Aluminij 1-3 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-11.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
4.36/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.57
+113% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Domzale
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
06.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-5 HT 0-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.05.2022 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
31.10.2021 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-3
AWAY Domzale
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale beat Aluminij 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

This one beat our numbers. Aluminij carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aluminij had 58% of the ball to Domzale's 42%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Domzale led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aluminij and 2.33 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Domzale?

Aluminij 1-3 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 56%, draw 21%, Domzale 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aluminij) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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